How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 0.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Atlante and 1.5 from Toluca, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Atlante come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.70, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. We make it about 57% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.