What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Club America and 1.0 from Guadalajara Chivas, so Club America come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Club America come into this on two straight defeats. Guadalajara Chivas come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.5 goals (xG 1.4-1.0), and three is enough to land it, landing about 53% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.79, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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