What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Atl. San Luis and 1.3 from Necaxa, so Atl. San Luis come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.1 goals between the two (xG 1.8-1.3), landing about 51% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
Previews like this one are written for every fixture we cover, and the data behind them is not free. If this was worth reading, you can help pay for it. Support us →
