What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Necaxa and 1.6 from Club America, so Club America come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Necaxa come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Club America to score 2 or fewer. This is about Club America's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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