What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Santos Laguna and 1.6 from Pachuca, so Pachuca come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Santos Laguna come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Santos Laguna to score 1 or fewer. This is about Santos Laguna's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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