How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Tigres UANL to score 1 or fewer 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Pachuca and 1.1 from Tigres UANL, so Pachuca come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Tigres UANL to score 1 or fewer. This is about Tigres UANL's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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