What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Queretaro and 1.3 from Monterrey, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Queretaro have won two of their last five.
✓Monterrey have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
5 Mar 2026Monterrey 4 - 0 Queretaro
15 Sept 2025Queretaro 0 - 1 Monterrey
16 Feb 2025Queretaro 2 - 4 Monterrey
21 Jul 2024Monterrey 2 - 1 Queretaro
25 Jan 2024Monterrey 1 - 1 Queretaro
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. We only make this about 57%, so it's far from a lock.
