How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Auxerre to score 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Auxerre and 1.1 from Nice, so Auxerre come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Auxerre come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Auxerre to score. This is about Auxerre's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Auxerre have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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