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Football/Ligue 1/Lorient v Toulouse
Ligue 1

Lorient v Toulouse: how it went

Lorient crestLorient12th of 18 · 5 ptsLLDLW
2 - 2
Toulouse crestToulouse13th of 18 · 5 ptsWDLDL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Lorient to score 77%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Lorient and 1.2 from Toulouse, so Lorient come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Lorient to score. This is about Lorient's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Lorient have won one of their last five.
✓Toulouse have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

21 Mar 2026Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient
9 Nov 2025Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse
28 Apr 2024Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse
3 Dec 2023Toulouse 1 - 1 Lorient
23 Apr 2023Lorient 0 - 1 Toulouse

Toulouse have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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