Ligue 1Sun 11 Oct · 15:15 UTC

Rennes v Auxerre prediction

RennesDWWWD

AuxerreWLLLW

What to expect

We expect about 2.1 goals from Rennes and 1.2 from Auxerre, so Rennes come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Rennes to win. Rennes are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.2), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Rennes are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.

✓Auxerre have won two of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.

✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

22 Feb 2026Auxerre 0 - 3 Rennes

19 Oct 2025Rennes 2 - 2 Auxerre

6 Apr 2025Rennes 0 - 1 Auxerre

3 Nov 2024Auxerre 4 - 0 Rennes

11 Mar 2023Auxerre 0 - 0 Rennes

Auxerre have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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