How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Angers to score 1 or fewer 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Brest and 0.9 from Angers, so Brest come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Angers to score 1 or fewer. This is about Angers's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Brest have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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