How it turned out
The game finished with 0 goals. We made Boulogne (Draw No Bet) 61%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Boulogne (Draw No Bet). Boulogne are favoured here (xG 1.4-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Boulogne defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.74, which works out at about 57 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Nancy win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 61%: a lean, not a lock.
