Football/Ligue 2/Metz v Guingamp

Ligue 2Sat 8 Aug · 18:45 UTC

Metz v Guingamp: how it went

MetzLDLLD

2 - 1

GuingampDLLLL

Full time

How it turned out

The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored. We made Metz to win 60%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

Guingamp come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Metz to win. Metz are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.0), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.88, which works out at about 53 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say

✓Metz have not won any of their last five.

✓Guingamp have not won any of their last five.

✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

15 Feb 2025Guingamp 0 - 3 Metz

25 Oct 2024Metz 1 - 0 Guingamp

20 May 2023Guingamp 1 - 1 Metz

12 Sept 2022Metz 3 - 6 Guingamp

Metz have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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