How it turned out
The game finished with 6 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.4-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 57%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.82, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
It only takes one early goal to change how both sides play, and a low total can unravel in a single quick spell. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.
