How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Dijon (Draw No Bet) 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Dijon and 1.2 from Pau FC, so Dijon come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Pau FC come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Dijon (Draw No Bet). Dijon are favoured here (xG 1.9-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Dijon defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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