How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Not both teams to score 59%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Laval and 1.1 from Nantes, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.2 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.1). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.80, which works out at about 56 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A single defensive slip or a late set-piece, and the clean sheet this needs is gone. We only make this about 59%, so it's far from a lock.
