How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Guingamp to score 70%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Nancy and 1.3 from Guingamp, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Guingamp to score. This is about Guingamp's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Guingamp have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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