What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Pau FC and 1.2 from Laval, so Pau FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.6-1.2), landing about 71% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Pau FC have won one of their last five.
✓Laval have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
30 Jan 2026Laval 0 - 1 Pau FC
23 Sept 2025Pau FC 1 - 0 Laval
31 Jan 2025Pau FC 1 - 1 Laval
27 Sept 2024Laval 3 - 1 Pau FC
20 Apr 2024Pau FC 3 - 0 Laval
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