How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Reims to score 80%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Nantes and 2.0 from Reims, so Reims come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Reims to score. This is about Reims's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 2.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 80%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Reims have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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