How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Rodez to score 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.2 goals from St Etienne and 1.5 from Rodez, so St Etienne come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Rodez come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Rodez to score. This is about Rodez's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Rodez have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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