What to expect
We expect about 2.1 goals from St Etienne and 1.1 from Laval, so St Etienne come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: St Etienne to win. St Etienne are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.1), and we make them about 65% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
St Etienne have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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