How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals; the game finished with 0. We made FK Kauno Žalgiris (Draw No Bet) 65%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Banga Gargzdai and 1.3 from FK Kauno Žalgiris, so FK Kauno Žalgiris come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Draw No Bet). FK Kauno Žalgiris are favoured here (xG 0.8-1.3), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a FK Kauno Žalgiris defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
