What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from FK Panevėžys and 1.6 from Žalgiris Vilnius, so Žalgiris Vilnius come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Žalgiris Vilnius (Draw No Bet). Žalgiris Vilnius are favoured here (xG 1.1-1.6), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Žalgiris Vilnius defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright FK Panevėžys win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. The price is shorter than our own read of about 70%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.