What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from FK Kauno Žalgiris and 0.8 from Sūduva, so FK Kauno Žalgiris come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sūduva come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FK Kauno Žalgiris to win. FK Kauno Žalgiris are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-0.8), and we make them about 49% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.72, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.