What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from F91 Dudelange and 1.3 from Racing FC Union Luxembourg, so F91 Dudelange come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: F91 Dudelange to win. F91 Dudelange are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-1.3), and we make them about 47% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.15, which works out at about 47 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓F91 Dudelange have won three of their last five.
✓Racing FC Union Luxembourg have not won any of their last three.
