How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Una Strassen to win 61%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Una Strassen and 0.9 from UN Käerjeng 97, so Una Strassen come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Una Strassen to win. Una Strassen are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-0.9), and we make them about 63% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Una Strassen have won four of the last five meetings.
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