How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made US Mondorf les Bains to win 66%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.3 goals from US Mondorf les Bains and 1.1 from US Hostert, so US Mondorf les Bains come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
US Hostert come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: US Mondorf les Bains to win. US Mondorf les Bains are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-1.1), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
US Mondorf les Bains have won three of the last five meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
