How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Atlanta Utd and 1.7 from FC Cincinnati, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Atlanta Utd come into this on two straight draws. FC Cincinnati come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Atlanta Utd to score 2 or fewer. This is about Atlanta Utd's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
FC Cincinnati have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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