What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Chicago Fire and 1.3 from New York City, so Chicago Fire come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Chicago Fire have not won any of their last five.
✓New York City have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
26 Jul 2026New York City 3 - 1 Chicago Fire
14 Sept 2025Chicago Fire 1 - 3 New York City
25 May 2025New York City 3 - 1 Chicago Fire
25 Aug 2024New York City 2 - 2 Chicago Fire
14 Jul 2024Chicago Fire 0 - 0 New York City
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