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Football/MLS/Austin FC v FC Dallas
MLS · Q2 Stadium

Austin FC v FC Dallas prediction

Austin FC crestAustin FCWLLWW
v
FC Dallas crestFC DallasWWDLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Austin FC and 1.6 from FC Dallas, so FC Dallas come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Austin FC come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Austin FC have won three of their last five.
FC Dallas have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

14 Sept 2025FC Dallas 2 - 0 Austin FC
17 Aug 2025Austin FC 1 - 1 FC Dallas
18 Jul 2024FC Dallas 3 - 1 Austin FC
12 May 2024FC Dallas 2 - 1 Austin FC
31 Mar 2024Austin FC 2 - 1 FC Dallas
FC Dallas have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. The price is shorter than our own read of about 58%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

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