What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Austin FC and 1.5 from Philadelphia Union, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Austin FC come into this on two straight wins. Philadelphia Union come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. We only make this about 59%, so it's far from a lock.
