What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Chicago Fire and 1.3 from New England Revolution, so Chicago Fire come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 3.1 goals (xG 1.8-1.3), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 82%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
