How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Columbus Crew to win 58%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Columbus Crew and 1.0 from CF Montreal, so Columbus Crew come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
CF Montreal come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Columbus Crew to win. Columbus Crew are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.0), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.70, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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