What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Orlando City and 1.9 from Chicago Fire, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Orlando City (Draw No Bet). Orlando City favoured (xG 2.0-1.7); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.15, which works out at about 47 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Orlando City have won two of their last five.
✓Chicago Fire have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
23 Oct 2025Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Orlando City
1 Jun 2025Orlando City 1 - 3 Chicago Fire
4 May 2025Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Orlando City
23 Jun 2024Orlando City 4 - 2 Chicago Fire
30 May 2024Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Orlando City
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Chicago Fire win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 60%: a lean, not a lock.
