What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from DC United and 1.6 from Charlotte, so Charlotte come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓DC United have won two of their last five.
✓Charlotte are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
23 Aug 2026Charlotte 3 - 1 DC United
4 Oct 2025DC United 0 - 1 Charlotte
17 Jul 2025Charlotte 2 - 1 DC United
19 Oct 2024DC United 0 - 3 Charlotte
16 Jun 2024Charlotte 1 - 0 DC United
