How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Houston Dynamo and 1.3 from FC Cincinnati, so Houston Dynamo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
FC Cincinnati come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FC Cincinnati to score. This is about FC Cincinnati's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
FC Cincinnati have won two of the last three meetings, with one drawn.
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