How it turned out
We projected about 3.6 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Both teams to score 62%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from DC United and 1.8 from FC Cincinnati, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
DC United come into this on four straight defeats. FC Cincinnati come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
FC Cincinnati have won four of the last five meetings.
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