What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from New York Red Bulls and 2.0 from Inter Miami, so Inter Miami come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
New York Red Bulls come into this on three straight defeats. Inter Miami come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-2.0), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Inter Miami have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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