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Football/MLS/FC Cincinnati v DC United
MLS · TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati v DC United prediction

FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati9th in Eastern · 36 ptsWWLLL
v
DC United crestDC United12th in Eastern · 33 ptsLLWWL

What to expect

We expect about 2.2 goals from FC Cincinnati and 1.6 from DC United, so FC Cincinnati come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

FC Cincinnati come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.8 goals between the two (xG 2.2-1.6), landing about 62% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓FC Cincinnati have won two of their last five.
✓DC United have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

1 Jun 2025FC Cincinnati 1 - 2 DC United
13 Apr 2025DC United 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati
4 Jul 2024DC United 2 - 3 FC Cincinnati
10 Mar 2024FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
25 Jun 2023DC United 3 - 0 FC Cincinnati

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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