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Football/MLS/Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United
MLS · Shell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United prediction

Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoLDLDD
v
Minnesota United crestMinnesota United11th in Western · 34 ptsLLDDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Houston Dynamo and 1.3 from Minnesota United, so Houston Dynamo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Houston Dynamo come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Houston Dynamo have not won any of their last five.
✓Minnesota United have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

11 Oct 2026Minnesota United 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo
26 Jun 2025Minnesota United 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo
15 May 2025Houston Dynamo 2 - 0 Minnesota United
14 Jul 2024Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 Minnesota United
14 Apr 2024Minnesota United 1 - 2 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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