What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Minnesota United and 0.9 from Atlanta Utd, so Minnesota United come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Minnesota United come into this on two straight draws. Atlanta Utd come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Minnesota United (Draw No Bet). Minnesota United are favoured here (xG 1.8-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Minnesota United defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Atlanta Utd win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed.
