What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from Nashville SC and 1.2 from FC Cincinnati, so Nashville SC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Nashville SC come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Nashville SC (Draw No Bet). Nashville SC are favoured here (xG 2.2-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Nashville SC defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright FC Cincinnati win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 73% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
