How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made CF Montreal to score 1 or fewer 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from New York City and 1.0 from CF Montreal, so New York City come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
CF Montreal come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: CF Montreal to score 1 or fewer. This is about CF Montreal's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
CF Montreal have won four of the last five meetings.
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