How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made New York City (Draw No Bet) 67%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from New York City and 1.1 from Philadelphia Union, so New York City come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Philadelphia Union come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: New York City (Draw No Bet). New York City are favoured here (xG 1.7-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a New York City defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.73, which works out at about 58 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
New York City have won three of the last five meetings.
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