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Football/MLS/Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo
MLS · Providence Park

Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo prediction

Portland Timbers crestPortland Timbers11th in Western · 40 ptsDLDWW
v
Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoDDDDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Portland Timbers and 1.3 from Houston Dynamo, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Portland Timbers come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Portland Timbers have won two of their last five.
✓Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in their last five — one win and four draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

15 Mar 2026Houston Dynamo 3 - 2 Portland Timbers
21 Sept 2025Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 Portland Timbers
31 Mar 2025Portland Timbers 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo
2 Jun 2024Portland Timbers 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo
17 Mar 2024Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 Portland Timbers

Houston Dynamo have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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