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Football/MLS/San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo
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San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo prediction

San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes4th in Western · 52 ptsDLDWL
v
Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoDDWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from San Jose Earthquakes and 1.2 from Houston Dynamo, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Houston Dynamo come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓San Jose Earthquakes have won one of their last five.
✓Houston Dynamo have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

13 Sept 2026San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo
30 Aug 2026Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes
24 Aug 2025Houston Dynamo 1 - 2 San Jose Earthquakes
25 May 2025San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 3 Houston Dynamo
18 Jul 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0 - 1 Houston Dynamo

San Jose Earthquakes have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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