What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Seattle Sounders and 1.2 from New York Red Bulls, so Seattle Sounders come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
New York Red Bulls come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 2.9 goals (xG 1.7-1.2), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 85%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 85 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles.
