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Football/MLS/Toronto FC v Charlotte
MLS · BMO Field

Toronto FC v Charlotte prediction

Toronto FC crestToronto FCLDDLD
v
Charlotte crestCharlotteWWDWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Toronto FC and 1.3 from Charlotte, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Toronto FC have not won any of their last five.
Charlotte have won three of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

17 May 2026Charlotte 3 - 1 Toronto FC
27 Jul 2025Charlotte 2 - 0 Toronto FC
1 Jun 2025Toronto FC 0 - 2 Charlotte
14 Apr 2024Charlotte 3 - 2 Toronto FC
9 Mar 2024Toronto FC 1 - 0 Charlotte
Charlotte have won four of the last five meetings.

One thing to watch

A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. The price is shorter than our own read of about 57%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More MLS fixtures

Full fixture list
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