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Football/MLS/Toronto FC v Charlotte
MLS · BMO Field

Toronto FC v Charlotte: how it went

Toronto FC crestToronto FC13th of 15 · 29 ptsDDLDW
3 - 3
Charlotte crestCharlotteWDWLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 58%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Toronto FC and 1.3 from Charlotte, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Toronto FC have won one of their last five.
✓Charlotte have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

17 May 2026Charlotte 3 - 1 Toronto FC
27 Jul 2025Charlotte 2 - 0 Toronto FC
1 Jun 2025Toronto FC 0 - 2 Charlotte
14 Apr 2024Charlotte 3 - 2 Toronto FC
9 Mar 2024Toronto FC 1 - 0 Charlotte

Charlotte have won four of the last five meetings.

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More MLS fixtures

Full fixture list
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Every game on Wednesday, 19 August 2026 →
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