What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Altrincham and 1.0 from Hartlepool, so Altrincham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.0), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Altrincham have won three of their last five.
✓Hartlepool have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 Jan 2026Hartlepool 1 - 0 Altrincham
19 Aug 2025Altrincham 0 - 2 Hartlepool
18 Feb 2025Hartlepool 1 - 2 Altrincham
23 Oct 2024Altrincham 1 - 1 Hartlepool
20 Feb 2024Hartlepool 3 - 2 Altrincham
