What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Barrow and 1.3 from Aldershot, so Barrow come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Aldershot come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Barrow have won one of their last five.
✓Aldershot are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
